Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.030535 0.032830 0.035228 0.037924 0.040874 0.044009 0.047597
2025-05-25 0.026545 0.029769 0.033314 0.037514 0.042375 0.047844 0.054492
2025-06-01 0.023708 0.027426 0.031672 0.036909 0.043233 0.050673 0.060164
2025-06-08 0.021523 0.025517 0.030218 0.036204 0.043691 0.052831 0.064968
2025-06-15 0.019948 0.024147 0.029217 0.035854 0.044411 0.055204 0.070061
2025-06-22 0.018657 0.022996 0.028353 0.035540 0.045059 0.057422 0.075004
2025-06-29 0.017411 0.021798 0.027321 0.034890 0.045157 0.058843 0.078890
2025-07-06 0.016739 0.021281 0.027109 0.035267 0.046599 0.062108 0.085515
2025-07-13 0.016000 0.020621 0.026654 0.035259 0.047475 0.064599 0.091172
2025-07-20 0.015487 0.020225 0.026515 0.035655 0.048909 0.067937 0.098295
2025-07-27 0.014813 0.019570 0.025976 0.035441 0.049427 0.069940 0.103496
2025-08-03 0.014193 0.018954 0.025454 0.035207 0.049879 0.071840 0.108641
2025-08-10 0.013609 0.018366 0.024949 0.034975 0.050329 0.073779 0.114036
2025-08-17 0.013113 0.017879 0.024559 0.034888 0.050983 0.076065 0.120177
2025-08-24 0.012536 0.017248 0.023930 0.034398 0.050969 0.077265 0.124544
2025-08-31 0.011961 0.016594 0.023234 0.033766 0.050682 0.077983 0.128097
2025-09-07 0.011511 0.016105 0.022760 0.033448 0.050870 0.079483 0.133141
2025-09-14 0.011100 0.015655 0.022323 0.033160 0.051082 0.081020 0.138353
2025-09-21 0.010635 0.015107 0.021712 0.032562 0.050739 0.081564 0.141730
2025-09-28 0.010434 0.014948 0.021689 0.032909 0.051997 0.084978 0.150869
2025-10-05 0.010159 0.014665 0.021461 0.032902 0.052643 0.087330 0.158122
2025-10-12 0.009985 0.014530 0.021458 0.033266 0.053948 0.090952 0.168242
2025-10-19 0.009693 0.014202 0.021132 0.033069 0.054245 0.092719 0.174684